000			01092 a2200169 4500
005			20250826212124.0
020			_a9780143125082
082			_a519.542 SIL
100			_aSilver, Nate
245			_aSignal and the Noise : Why So Many Predictions Fail–but Some Don't
260			_bPenguin _c2020 _aRandam House USA
300			_a538
520			_aDrawing on his own groundbreaking work in sports and politics, Nate Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how to seek truth from data. In The Signal and the Noise, Silver visits innovative forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball to global pandemics, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He discovers that what the most accurate ones have in common is a superior command of probability—as well as a healthy dose of humility. With everything from the global economy to the fight against disease hanging on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silver’s insights are an essential read.
650			_aForecasting
650			_aForecasting history
942			_cBK _2ddc
999			_c51120 _d51120